Thursday 25 February 2010

Harris Poll in Today's Metro

Page 16 if anyone has access, though it may be on their website. I'll update this post later if I find it online.
It's a jolly interesting poll! They don't have any details on the methodology, but assuming its Halal, there are a few interesting things to note.
- Firstly, they seem to think that a 9 point lead would result in a Hung parliament. It's well established that the Tories need more votes than Labour to win an election (and the Lib Dems need even more still), but common estimates put the Hung Parliament territory at between 5-7 points - I've never seen it at high as 9 before. But if their local polling is legit, it could be.
- Large Tory gains in London, or more specifically the west. They have a nunber of councils around that area where - for councils - they're doing some pretty radical things. This could be a vindication of their actions there, or at the very least a sign that the people there don't hate their local policies.
- SNP losses in Scotland. Good. Nationalists of all kind are absolute dogmatic attrocities. This is tapered somewhat by Plaid Cymru gains in Wales, but there's basically no chance of them exiting the union. Incidentally, this. goes to prove how poor a barometer of national election results the Scotish parliament elections are.  (Also, this will sound mad, but I'm going on the assumption that the bit at the top of the diagram IS Scotland. In their haste at getting a funky looking map they've made it a bit confusing, but I think they just tried to keep the Scottish seats the same size as the rest, thus Scotland looms tiny on the map. Plus, you have the Orkney Islands on there, so...)
- Labours domination of the North, whilst far from disappeared, has certainly dimished, with large bands of Blue spreading through the counties.
Interesting stuff!

Edit: Now including the image!

1 comment:

  1. The prospect of a hung parliament has hurt the pound: http://news.bbc.co.uk/1/hi/business/8543007.stm

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